COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group(@COVID19actuary) 's Twitter Profileg
COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

@COVID19actuary

Continuing to share regular data and analysis on excess mortality and hospital admissions with Covid-19. Run by volunteers.

ID:1243131149955858435

linkhttps://covidactuaries.org/ calendar_today26-03-2020 11:02:36

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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 19% in-week.
 
R-estimate is stable at 1.12.
 
Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the South West (61%) and NE&Yorks (35%).
 
Acute bed occupancy is up by 6%.

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 19% in-week.   R-estimate is stable at 1.12.   Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the South West (61%) and NE&Yorks (35%).   Acute bed occupancy is up by 6%.
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John Roberts(@john_actuary) 's Twitter Profile Photo

UKHSA estimates that prevalence of COVID in England and Scotland has nearly tripled in the month since the ONS restarted its COVID infection surveillance.

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gov.uk/government/sta…

UKHSA estimates that prevalence of COVID in England and Scotland has nearly tripled in the month since the ONS restarted its COVID infection surveillance. 1/ gov.uk/government/sta…
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 22% in-week.

R-estimate fell slightly to 1.11.

Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the Midlands (30%) and the North West (30%).

Acute bed occupancy is up by 13%.

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 22% in-week. R-estimate fell slightly to 1.11. Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the Midlands (30%) and the North West (30%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 13%.
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 8 December.

Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 8 December. Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I've been poring over today's NHS data releases and the picture for emergency care isn't pretty.

Last year I estimated 400 additional deaths a week arising from A&E delays, Sep-Nov.

This year looks just as bad, despite less Covid and flu - so far!
lcp.com/our-viewpoint/…

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Edward Hill(@EdMHill) 's Twitter Profile Photo

📃 Latest UK Health Security Agency surveillance report for England

⏰ Week 49 2023 data (04-10 Dec 2023)

⬆️ influenza activity in many indicators, broadly tracking trend from 2017/18 & 2018/19

📊Influenza hospitalisations crossed into low impact threshold

🔗: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/657afbb5…

📃 Latest @UKHSA #influenza surveillance report for England ⏰ Week 49 2023 data (04-10 Dec 2023) ⬆️ influenza activity in many indicators, broadly tracking trend from 2017/18 & 2018/19 📊Influenza hospitalisations crossed into low impact threshold 🔗: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/657afbb5…
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 27% in-week.

R-estimate incresed to 1.15.

Admissions were flat in the East (-2%) but rose sharply elsewhere. Largest increases in the South East (46%) and the South West (45%).

Acute bed occupancy is up by 26%.

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 27% in-week. R-estimate incresed to 1.15. Admissions were flat in the East (-2%) but rose sharply elsewhere. Largest increases in the South East (46%) and the South West (45%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 26%.
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 1 December.

Death rates this week were 1% lower than the equivalent week in 2019, based on death registrations data. 1/3

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 1 December. Death rates this week were 1% lower than the equivalent week in 2019, based on death registrations data. 1/3
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John Roberts(@john_actuary) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It's back!

After a hiatus of 8 months, it's a welcome return for the ONS , and it shows that in England & Scotland the prevalence is around 1.2%.
That's up from the previous week of 1.0%, but still much lower than any prevalence seen last winter.

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It's back! After a hiatus of 8 months, it's a welcome return for the ONS #COVIDinfectionstudy, and it shows that in England & Scotland the prevalence is around 1.2%. That's up from the previous week of 1.0%, but still much lower than any prevalence seen last winter. 1/
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 10% in-week.

Our R-value has increased to 1.06.

Admissions rose in all regions except NE&Yorks (-6%). Largest increaes in the South West (+35%) and the East (+29%).

Acute bed occupancy is up by 4%.

Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 10% in-week. Our R-value has increased to 1.06. Admissions rose in all regions except NE&Yorks (-6%). Largest increaes in the South West (+35%) and the East (+29%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 4%.
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 24 November.

Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3

The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 24 November. Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3
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IFoA(@actuarynews) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Post-pandemic mortality analysis from the Continuous Mortality Investigation features in the latest edition of The Lancet Regional Health - Europe: actuaries.org.uk/news-and-media…

Post-pandemic mortality analysis from the Continuous Mortality Investigation features in the latest edition of The Lancet Regional Health - Europe: actuaries.org.uk/news-and-media…
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

For ages 50-64, deaths involving cardiovascular diseases such as heart disease and stroke were 33% higher than expected.

Other causes with significant excess deaths at ages 50-64 were acute respiratory infections (43% excess) and diabetes (35% excess).

For ages 50-64, deaths involving cardiovascular diseases such as heart disease and stroke were 33% higher than expected. Other causes with significant excess deaths at ages 50-64 were acute respiratory infections (43% excess) and diabetes (35% excess).
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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Our new commentary published in The Lancet Reg Health-Europe discusses the ongoing excess deaths in the UK, and for the first time provides granular analysis by age, place and cause.

Excess deaths now highest for middle-aged adults, driven by cardiovascular causes.
thelancet.com/journals/lanep…

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stuart mcdonald(@ActuaryByDay) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I’ve shared this week’s data on hospital admissions with COVID on Threads and Bluesky.

threads.net/@actuarybyday/…

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COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group(@COVID19actuary) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hospital admissions with COVID in England decreased by 8% in-week.

Our R-value has risen to 0.95.

Admissions slightly rose in the East (+4%) and the South East (+1%) , but fell elsewhere. Biggest decrease in the NE&Yorks (-22%).

Acute bed occupancy is down by 15%.

Hospital admissions with COVID in England decreased by 8% in-week. Our R-value has risen to 0.95. Admissions slightly rose in the East (+4%) and the South East (+1%) , but fell elsewhere. Biggest decrease in the NE&Yorks (-22%). Acute bed occupancy is down by 15%.
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