Dimiter Toshkov
@DToshkov
European Union politics and governance, research methods and design, data visualization, bureaucracy and public administration @PA_UniLeiden
ID:2557408332
http://www.dimiter.eu 09-06-2014 19:44:43
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Alan Jacobs and I are delighted to announce the publication of our new book 'Integrated Inferences'
See here: integrated-inferences.github.io for links to:
* The book plus open access version (thanks Cambridge!)
* Accompanying R package on CRAN: CausalQueries
* Guide to the package
Facing loss of power, Morawiecki proposed to strengthen opposition rights in 🇵🇱 'Opposition day' in the parliament, opposition parity in committees, pluralism of voices. After 8 ys of undermining checks&balances, PiS promises to champion them. Research with Dimiter Toshkov came to life
1🥁| New working paper w/ Felix Bethke:
Does public opinion on foreign affairs affect political elites’ policy preferences?
Most research assumes that it does, but this key assumption is difficult to test empirically given limited research access to elites.
osf.io/preprints/soca…
🚨 NEW PAPER IN Nature Human Behaviour 🚨
Across contexts, we find a counterintuitive #FormalityEffect : Formal government communications are more effective than informal ones at shifting residents’ behavior.
With Chris Larkin, Lindsay Moore, Elspeth Kirkman
rdcu.be/drRnl
If the projections hold up, not a good day for pollsters in the Netherlands. The latest aggregated poll Peilingwijzer before the election had PVV at 27 seats. 35 is well out of the confidence interval.