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FiveThirtyEight

@FiveThirtyEight

Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.

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linkhttp://www.abcnews.com/538 calendar_today21-01-2014 21:39:32

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FiveThirtyEight(@FiveThirtyEight) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The question for Pres. Joe Biden's reelection campaign is whether enough voters know about his efforts and are willing to give him credit for fulfilling his 2020 campaign promise to deal with the country's $1.7 trillion student debt problem. trib.al/IRAmKWz

The question for Pres. Joe Biden's reelection campaign is whether enough voters know about his efforts and are willing to give him credit for fulfilling his 2020 campaign promise to deal with the country's $1.7 trillion student debt problem. trib.al/IRAmKWz
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During the 2022 midterm elections, abortion proved to be a defining issue, and many Democrats are banking on it remaining one in the 2024 election. 

But where exactly do Americans stand on this divisive issue now? trib.al/wXhj2JU

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The 538 Swing-O-Matic is an interactive tool that allows you to play around with how different parts of the electorate might vote, altering how much a group prefers one party's candidate, and just how high or low that group's turnout is. trib.al/ycdTy81

The 538 Swing-O-Matic is an interactive tool that allows you to play around with how different parts of the electorate might vote, altering how much a group prefers one party's candidate, and just how high or low that group's turnout is. trib.al/ycdTy81
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FiveThirtyEight(@FiveThirtyEight) 's Twitter Profile Photo

During the 2022 midterm elections, abortion proved to be a defining issue, and many Democrats are banking on it remaining one in the 2024 election. 

But where exactly do Americans stand on this divisive issue now? trib.al/yHu3zmu

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G Elliott Morris(@gelliottmorris) 's Twitter Profile Photo

News you can use: 538's Swing-O-Matic is back for the 2024 election!

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-swing-the…

News you can use: 538's Swing-O-Matic is back for the 2024 election! projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-swing-the…
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Geoffrey Skelley(@geoffreyvs) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Introducing 538's Swing-O-Matic! Choose your own adventure by adjusting support and turnout among key demographic groups to see how those changes could alter whether Biden or Trump might win the 2024 election. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-swing-the…

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Nathaniel Rakich(@baseballot) 's Twitter Profile Photo

There's been lots of speculation about what would happen if nonwhite or young voters swing hard to the right. This tool lets you see who would win the election if that happens! projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-swing-the…

There's been lots of speculation about what would happen if nonwhite or young voters swing hard to the right. This tool lets you see who would win the election if that happens! projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-swing-the…
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Since 1972, when the modern presidential primary era began, every non-incumbent major-party presidential candidate has waited until at least July, and often August, to announce their running mate. trib.al/9eQUN7U

Since 1972, when the modern presidential primary era began, every non-incumbent major-party presidential candidate has waited until at least July, and often August, to announce their running mate. trib.al/9eQUN7U
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Nathaniel Rakich(@baseballot) 's Twitter Profile Photo

New from me: 2024 is on pace to be only the 2nd recent election where both candidates were unpopular. That could mean favorability rating doesn’t matter this year. abcnews.go.com/538/americans-…

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If Trump’s and Biden’s net favorability ratings remain underwater through Election Day, 2024 will be only the second presidential election since at least 1980 in which Americans had a negative view of both candidates. trib.al/MgIznyb

If Trump’s and Biden’s net favorability ratings remain underwater through Election Day, 2024 will be only the second presidential election since at least 1980 in which Americans had a negative view of both candidates. trib.al/MgIznyb
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How worried should we be about AI-generated fakery this election?

In an attempt to get out in front of the problem, state legislators have been introducing and passing bans on deepfakes—media created using AI to impersonate politicians—around elections. trib.al/CMNefix

How worried should we be about AI-generated fakery this election? In an attempt to get out in front of the problem, state legislators have been introducing and passing bans on deepfakes—media created using AI to impersonate politicians—around elections. trib.al/CMNefix
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8 people who could be Trump's VP pick.

Tim Scott and Kristi Noem headline FiveThirtyEight's latest vice presidential draft. trib.al/4EhnQwd

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Members of the House of Representatives seem to hate their jobs so much, some can’t even see them through to the end of the year. abcnews.go.com/538/house-memb…

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Nathaniel Rakich(@baseballot) 's Twitter Profile Photo

In honor of the finale, we gave 538 staffers 12 quotes and asked them if it was from Biden, Trump, or a Bachelor contestant. It's harder than it sounds! youtube.com/watch?v=VvHCd5…

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