manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profileg
manish gunwani

@GunwaniManish

Head-Equities, Bandhan AMC

ID:1572844160

calendar_today06-07-2013 13:48:41

141 Tweets

5,3K Followers

101 Following

Sivakumar(@eyeofsiva) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Several people have replied stating that AT1 bonds have loss absorption features. I have no issue with that. My point was related to RBI circular relating to seniority. Please read.

Several people have replied stating that AT1 bonds have loss absorption features. I have no issue with that. My point was related to RBI circular relating to seniority. Please read.
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Mohit Gang(@Mohit_Gang) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Prioritising Equity over AT1 bond holders in draft resolution is a first in this country!
In all fairness ReserveBankOfIndia is setting up a bad precedent for the bond industry by subverting their rights. Critical takeaways:
1) Scares away a potential source of capital for all banks

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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This chart underscores the importance of remittances to india. Remittances continues to be higher than FDI flows in India.

This chart underscores the importance of remittances to india. Remittances continues to be higher than FDI flows in India.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Economic survey 2020 pitches for aggressive divestment of CPSEs. It clearly states the potential of all-round efficiency gains with timely strategic sale.

Economic survey 2020 pitches for aggressive divestment of CPSEs. It clearly states the potential of all-round efficiency gains with timely strategic sale.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Tepid real estate market is an issue not just in India - longest period of decline in residential investment globally after 2008 as per Oxford Economics.

Tepid real estate market is an issue not just in India - longest period of decline in residential investment globally after 2008 as per Oxford Economics.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Research by Mr.Schmelzing of Yale shows real interest rates have been declining for last 700 years in developed countries. Hope direction is same in India.

Research by Mr.Schmelzing of Yale shows real interest rates have been declining for last 700 years in developed countries. Hope direction is same in India.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Interesting chart splitting market by key driver. Penetration and market share driven companies (structural winners) have high share now versus macro driven (chart-CS).

Interesting chart splitting market by key driver. Penetration and market share driven companies (structural winners) have high share now versus macro driven (chart-CS).
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

What India needs- Labour intensive exports from small towns facilitated by dynamism of both Government and entrepreneurs.

What India needs- Labour intensive exports from small towns facilitated by dynamism of both Government and entrepreneurs.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Apple Airpods-launched 3 years back- $12bn revenue, 125% growth, gross margins estimated 30%+. If listed separately probably be worth more than any Indian company($130bn approx).

Apple Airpods-launched 3 years back- $12bn revenue, 125% growth, gross margins estimated 30%+. If listed separately probably be worth more than any Indian company($130bn approx).
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Why is the market doing better than the economy? This chart offers a partial explanation. IIP split shows larger companies have done better than smaller ones (chart-edelweiss).

Why is the market doing better than the economy? This chart offers a partial explanation. IIP split shows larger companies have done better than smaller ones (chart-edelweiss).
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

3 themes which are likely to dominate the next decade-climate change, automation of jobs and rise of China in hitech (charts by FT)

3 themes which are likely to dominate the next decade-climate change, automation of jobs and rise of China in hitech (charts by FT)
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Starting point matters! As we enter the new year lets reflect on the record performance gap between largecaps versus mid/smallcaps. From an asset allocation perspective this is a good entry point for the broader market.
Best wishes for 2020s..

Starting point matters! As we enter the new year lets reflect on the record performance gap between largecaps versus mid/smallcaps. From an asset allocation perspective this is a good entry point for the broader market. Best wishes for 2020s..
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The 2 phases when nominal GDP growth less 10yr Gsec yield in india has gone negative its been a great time to buy cyclicals(2001/2009). As this gap turned negative again in 2QFY20 looks like we are setting up for the third time!!

The 2 phases when nominal GDP growth less 10yr Gsec yield in india has gone negative its been a great time to buy cyclicals(2001/2009). As this gap turned negative again in 2QFY20 looks like we are setting up for the third time!!
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Economies with higher old-age dependency typically tend to have lower 10-yr bond yields. Emerging Asia is set to see significant ageing in the coming decade. Ceteris paribus, this should put downward pressure on yields & upward pressure on EM assets' valuations. Chart:BNP Paribas

Economies with higher old-age dependency typically tend to have lower 10-yr bond yields. Emerging Asia is set to see significant ageing in the coming decade. Ceteris paribus, this should put downward pressure on yields & upward pressure on EM assets' valuations. Chart:BNP Paribas
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Two emerging market currencies-Thai baht and Israel shekel- have done splendidly across timeframes. Why? - reasonable growth, low inflation and active central bank.

Two emerging market currencies-Thai baht and Israel shekel- have done splendidly across timeframes. Why? - reasonable growth, low inflation and active central bank.
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manish gunwani(@GunwaniManish) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The rise and rise of tech titans - capex+research expenditure of FAANMG roughly same as US Govt defense spending and roughly 3 times of India's total defense spending!

The rise and rise of tech titans - capex+research expenditure of FAANMG roughly same as US Govt defense spending and roughly 3 times of India's total defense spending!
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