Kevin Gordon(@KevRGordon) 's Twitter Profileg
Kevin Gordon

@KevRGordon

Director, Senior Investment Strategist, Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.
Disclosures: https://t.co/5libsyZoqZ

ID:1750557036062920704

calendar_today25-01-2024 16:31:56

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Kevin Gordon(@KevRGordon) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Looks like the pullback in April made consumers a bit less confident about rising stock prices per the The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index ... still a bullish crowd, however

Looks like the pullback in April made consumers a bit less confident about rising stock prices per the @Conferenceboard Consumer Confidence Index ... still a bullish crowd, however
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Year/year growth in existing home prices (white) continues to rebound and reaccelerate ... we've gone thru a full cycle from +20.8% growth, down to -0.4%, and back up to +6.4% ; all while CPI owners' equivalent rent (blue) is still at +6% year/year ... shelter costs are sticky

Year/year growth in existing home prices (white) continues to rebound and reaccelerate ... we've gone thru a full cycle from +20.8% growth, down to -0.4%, and back up to +6.4% ; all while CPI owners' equivalent rent (blue) is still at +6% year/year ... shelter costs are sticky
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From this morning's Employment Cost Index ... wage and salary growth for service occupations increased by +1.2% q/q in 1Q2024 (up from +0.8% in prior quarter)

From this morning's Employment Cost Index ... wage and salary growth for service occupations increased by +1.2% q/q in 1Q2024 (up from +0.8% in prior quarter)
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.Liz Ann Sonders and I look at this table every morning and it fascinates me ... there are currently more than 400 members in the S&P 500 outperforming $AAPL YTD

.@LizAnnSonders and I look at this table every morning and it fascinates me ... there are currently more than 400 members in the S&P 500 outperforming $AAPL YTD
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Rolling 200-day correlation between changes in Energy sector (white) and Russell 1000 Value (blue) is hovering near a two-decade low

Rolling 200-day correlation between changes in Energy sector (white) and Russell 1000 Value (blue) is hovering near a two-decade low
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As Tech sector has eased a bit relative to the broader market (white), % of members making a new 52-week high (blue) has also cooled off

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results]

As Tech sector has eased a bit relative to the broader market (white), % of members making a new 52-week high (blue) has also cooled off [Past performance is no guarantee of future results]
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Don't call it a comeback (yet) ... even though the Utilities sector has been doing well of late, only 3% of members have made a new 52-week high

Don't call it a comeback (yet) ... even though the Utilities sector has been doing well of late, only 3% of members have made a new 52-week high
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We're so back ... per Pollstar the 100 largest music tours of 2023 grossed more than $9 billion, exceeding the previous record in 2022 by nearly 50% ... big boost from the Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and Bruce Springsteen tours - Statista

cc Carl Quintanilla

We're so back ... per @Pollstar the 100 largest music tours of 2023 grossed more than $9 billion, exceeding the previous record in 2022 by nearly 50% ... big boost from the Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and Bruce Springsteen tours - @StatistaCharts cc @carlquintanilla
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Since we've just passed a year after the regional banking crisis, it's fascinating to look back at how much the market has priced in Fed easing over the past year ... that has continued to be the wrong view, though, since the Fed hiked into the summer of '23 and has held since

Since we've just passed a year after the regional banking crisis, it's fascinating to look back at how much the market has priced in Fed easing over the past year ... that has continued to be the wrong view, though, since the Fed hiked into the summer of '23 and has held since
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So far, today is the best day for the S&P 500 Auto Industry since March 2021 (note that there are only 3 members in the group)

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results]

So far, today is the best day for the S&P 500 Auto Industry since March 2021 (note that there are only 3 members in the group) [Past performance is no guarantee of future results]
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Here are the 'fab four' that have market caps > $2 trillion

$MSFT
$AAPL
$NVDA
$GOOGL

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results; individual stocks shown for illustration]

Here are the 'fab four' that have market caps > $2 trillion $MSFT $AAPL $NVDA $GOOGL [Past performance is no guarantee of future results; individual stocks shown for illustration]
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Here is sector performance since the S&P 500's recent peak at the end of March ... Energy, Comm Services, and Utilities lead while Real Estate is in last

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results; data from Bloomberg]

Here is sector performance since the S&P 500's recent peak at the end of March ... Energy, Comm Services, and Utilities lead while Real Estate is in last [Past performance is no guarantee of future results; data from @business]
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Mag7 (orange) down by nearly 1% this month, which is much better than cap-weighted (white) and equal-weighted (blue) S&P 500 ... worth noting that latter two indexes outperformed Mag7 in March, though

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results]

Mag7 (orange) down by nearly 1% this month, which is much better than cap-weighted (white) and equal-weighted (blue) S&P 500 ... worth noting that latter two indexes outperformed Mag7 in March, though [Past performance is no guarantee of future results]
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Last time 10y Treasury yield (blue) was hovering around its current level in 2007, S&P 500's forward P/E (white) was in the 14-15 range ... today, it's at 20.2

Last time 10y Treasury yield (blue) was hovering around its current level in 2007, S&P 500's forward P/E (white) was in the 14-15 range ... today, it's at 20.2
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Cap-weighted Communication Services sector continues to dominate relative to equal-weighted version

[Past performance is no guarantee of future results]

Cap-weighted Communication Services sector continues to dominate relative to equal-weighted version [Past performance is no guarantee of future results]
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