5/ Ukrainian artillery shortages are letting the Russians use armored columns without suffering prohibitive losses for the first time since 2022.

NEW: The current US debate about providing additional military assistance to Ukraine is based in part on the assumption that the war will remain stalemated regardless of US actions. That assumption is false. Russian advances will accelerate absent urgent American action. 🧵(1/8)

If Ukraine manages to hold Chasiv Yar, it will make the Russian political goals significantly more difficult. There aren’t any shortcuts towards the “belt of cities” between Kostiantynivka and Kramatorsk, so a failed offensive here means a more difficult grind somewhere else. 18/

However, many Ukrainian brigades are suffering from a shortage of men, which may explain the current positioning on a relatively short front. There’s no indication that the Russians would be experiencing the same issue, at least not in the same magnitude. 15/

It’s possible the battle of Chasiv Yar won’t consume Russian vehicles as severely as the operations in other directions, like in Terny, Novomykhailivka or the fields west of Avdiivka. Available data has not shown as extreme equipment losses in this direction. 10/

Ukraine has constructed several layers of trenches and other defensive positions north and south of Chasiv Yar. Even if the Russians managed to cross the canal at some point, they would still need to break through multiple fortified positions to seriously threaten the area. 3/

One of the most significant current battles in Ukraine is taking place in the small city of Chasiv Yar.

In this thread, I will analyze the current situation, defensive preparations, terrain, participating units, various scenarios and future developments. 1/

New: Judge has just admonished Trump. Donald Trump was gesturing and audibly speaking in the direction of the potential juror who was being questioned, Judge Juan Merchan said after the juror left the courtroom. “Your client was audibly uttering,' he told Trump's lawyers. 'I will…

1. NEW: Even though jury selection has just begun, defeatism is already infecting the coverage of Trump’s trial. No matter the verdict, Trump will suffer no meaningful political damage. I could not disagree more. Trump’s trial is a huge political problem for him.…

When I look at Trump, especially in court, where he vacillates between grunting, interfering, and losing consciousness, I see every one of the 4 components of malignant narcissism - is screaming. His narcissism screams from being pummeled and chastised and made fun of and nobody…

10/10 Hopefully, in light of these recent developments, the US can break free from russia's influence within the Republican Party. It is also our wish that Europe and the US can maintain a strong enough relationship to share a unified strategy for countering china.

7/10 Europe possesses the economic, technological, industrial, and military potential, provided that the necessary investments and efforts are made.

5/10 Several European leaders, including Macron and Stubb, have recognized that this situation is not only regrettable but also presents an opportunity for Europe to reclaim its sovereignty and bolster its industries.

1/10 The failed invasion of Ukraine by russia and its grip on the Republican Party present an opportunity for Europe, and hopefully, Europe is poised to make effective use of it. Analysis by Joni Askola

Listen up Maga, hell, listen up everyone, Donald Trump was Never the President for the People, he was a robber baron, it was always about what he got out of anything, not you. He never led America, he Robbed it for his puppet masters.

He did all he could to fulfill Bannon's…

Strongest recovery in the world with rapid growth, rising wages and historically low unemployment thanks to President Biden' economic plan

What Does It Mean to Have Pure Blood? Well, aside from wanting to identify with the bad guys in Harry Potter, it reflects buying into several anti-vaccine tropes. vaxopedia.org/2024/04/09/wha… via Vincent Iannelli, MD

Dutton again: “Australia is a peaceful country. We have never had civil conflict as part of our history”. Must have forgotten about the frontier wars and the many massacres of Indigenous people since 1788. But it’s easy to forget when someone is not interested. #AUSPOL

Dear chem-trail fanatics
Most of our weather is swept in from the Atlantic Ocean. It's about 3000-4000 miles to America. Weather systems over the UK are swept into northern Europe/Scandinavia within a day.
How does chem-trailing over the UK make any difference to the UK weather?