Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profileg
Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

New Book, On The Edge, August 13: https://t.co/WeCLEOd4Be

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calendar_today27-08-2008 20:56:45

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm going to have quite a lot to say about effective altruism in the forthcoming book, much of it critical, but yeah it's extremely frustrating that the DC/NYC press tends to pick the worst possible vibes-based criticisms.

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๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ MY SPHERE REVIEW JUST DROPPED ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ
natesilver.net/p/sbsq-4-a-revโ€ฆ

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Holy shit just filed penultimate chapter still a lot of work to go on the conclusion/revisions etc but this book is actually happening.

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Anti-Vegas stances are unacceptable. Wemby sounds like a typical pretentious French person, now solidly Team Chet.

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Norm, things have changed and not in a good way. There's lots of data on that (see e.g. below). The asymmetric polarization hypothesis relies on selective (i.e. cherrypicked) evidence from 15 years ago. We need to reevaluate in light of new evidence.
open.substack.com/pub/jonathanhaโ€ฆ

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

There's also been a huge rise in anti-Semitism on the left. These attitudes were far more marginal 10 or 15 years ago. Let's be evidence-based here. Politics isn't static.

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

At what point is asymmetric polarization a falsifiable scientific theory rather than an axiom? There are prominent people on the left quite literally calling the Democratic president a genocidal fascist and a eugenicist.
twitter.com/NateSilver538/โ€ฆ

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Kind of think that asymmetric polarization, while more or less true 10 years ago, carried the seeds of its own demise in that it convinced many left-leaning elites that they could never be too extreme or as bad as the other guys.

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

As compared with two years ago, Twitter has far fewer annoying scolds but more genuine craziness. Hard to know if this is a net improvement but the platform is still vibrant.

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Nate Silver(@NateSilver538) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Yeah it's almost like they can't conceive of their own team being so wrong about something so important. It would require too massive an update, it's too high stakes for them to contemplate, so you wind up with this almost prideful cognitive dissonance instead.

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