To put into perspective how well we've done since Danny came in.

We gave teams a 13 game head start, we won our first game on the 14th attempt.

Since then, we've won more or as many games as: Rotherham, Huddersfield, Birmingham, Plymouth, Blackburn, Stoke, QPR, and Watford,…

A word for Danny Röhl 👏

Sheffield Wednesday had just THREE points on the board when he took over at Hillsborough in October 😬

After a 3-0 win today, @SWFC require just one point on the final day to guarantee survival 💪 #SWFC

💙

Good lord. Good good LORD!!

And the fixes they would need to apply to get 'back into shape' in terms of rebuilding their position of dominance in Scotland will take a while to work through.

Changing leadership would be unlikely to turn everything back around again overnight.

The SNP have been in polling trouble now for quite some time.

Warning signs were there under Sturgeon, but her stepping down really ripped off the bandaid.

The party will want to do whatever they can to avoid going to the polls - they would be unlikely to do very well.

This will be fun!

In Britain, women are more undecided than men about their vote choice. Why?

In our new BJPIR article, Rosalind Shorrocks and I find this is partly explained by gender gaps in:

i) political engagement
ii) perceptions of representation
iii) conflict

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13…

Foreign aid votes expected to start soon

We're hiring for two data journalist positions at YouGov - a senior and a junior role. I'm biased, but I think ours are the most interesting and fulfilling jobs in the organisation, so come join me and let's do polls together!

Full JDs and applications at jobs.yougov.com/jobs

The problem with asserting the primacy of UNS is that in big swing elections we do see proportional swing. In 1945, average swing in top quartile PGE Con vote seats was 57% higher than in bottom quartile seats; in 1997, it was 52% higher.

New blog post: Why are MRP estimates so variable when the uniform national swing is so predictable? chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/changing… tl;dr MRP doesn't look like uniform national swing right now but will closer to the election; campaigning brings things into line w/ UNS (cc Survation.)

I should say none of this is contradictory or a correction to what the Guardian have quoted me as saying, at all - just wanted to reiterate that my 'warnings' were about those bellwethers/key battleground seats, rather than safe/urban Labour ones🙂