Solid critique by Prof Dr Richard S.J. Tol MAE

Also it uses RCP8.5 as a baseline to estimate the emergence of a signal of climate policy ~2050

Had they used a plausible baseline (e.g., SSP2-4.5 or lower) that signal of climate policy likely would not emerge until 2100 or later 🤷‍♂️

The moral of this story: Credible economics is published in economics journals.

Recall that the main problem with their specification is that it cannot be used for forecasting.

They cite a paper that shows you cannot use it for forecasting.

And they use it for forecasting -- while arguing in the same paper that you cannot do that.

Equation (4), let's call it Burke, assumes that the growth rate of the economy depends on the level of temperature.

This is a strange assumption.

It implies climate determinism: Heat causes poverty.

I'm excited to share a new paper in Science Advances led by UW's Vince Cooper showing that the last ice age provides much stronger constraints on Earth's climate sensitivity and future warming when ice-sheet driven temperature patterns are accounted for. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…

I guess we are in a one per day update mode now. Keep in mind, that the issue here is NWS IT leadership decided that it was OK that a bunch of IDP applications could only be run from College Park and not the Boulder datacenter.

Gross. Olympics swimming events in sewage strewn Seine for sustainability and minimizing carbon footprint.

Atlanta Chick-fil-A have a Dwarf House with a little door for the kids.

Dubai just saw 1-2 YEARS worth of rain in a little over a day.

I'm seeing even reputable sources attributing this to cloud seeding. IMO this is disingenuous. There could be minor net benefits, but the actual cause of this is merely basic synoptic meteorology, as outlined below.

While cloud seeding and climate change are easy scapegoats for Dubai's extreme rainfall, probably the effects of urbanization + artificial islands 🏝 affected the seabreeze much more = increased flood potential.

Driving here in Atlanta requires maximum patience. While the knee-jerk reaction is to get upset, I always try and see the license plate. Today, I saw a Korean War veteran plate and did the math. This driver can do whatever he wants.

Happy Vidalia Onion Day 🌰

Hate to rain on your parade, but there's zero evidence that Dubai's cloud seeding adventures had any detectable effect on the area's disastrous flooding.
bnnbloomberg.ca/dubai-grinds-t…

Any preliminary but good VEI for Ruang? Previous eruptions in the 2-4 range, but this looks a little more significant. 🌋

Tropical volcanic eruptions are potential problems for global climate.

An explosive eruption of the Ruang volcano occurred just hours ago in Indonesia.

Himawari-9 captured a view of the powerful eruption.

This fig via Amy Harder has shown up in my feed with claims that the much reduced GAST projections to 2100 are due to climate policy (Paris! Yay!)

You cannot make such a claim unless your analysis also controls for changed assumptions in underlying projective scenarios

Sorry!

The National Weather Service computer systems and network have just been added to the billion dollar disasters list for 2024.