Eric Berger
@SciGuySpace
Senior Space Editor at Ars Technica. Likes rockets. Author of the forthcoming book on the Falcon 9 rocket and Dragon spacecraft, REENTRY. https://t.co/vMzqdyaC21
ID:15726728
http://www.arstechnica.com 04-08-2008 19:44:20
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Dragonfly, which could do flagship science, will end up costing as much as one.
Since its selection in 2019, Dragonfly's costs have doubled to $3.35 billion and the launch has slipped two years until 2028. Its arrival at Titan has remained fixed in 2034.
arstechnica.com/space/2024/04/…
.Eric Berger Fun fact that I haven't seen reported before (though I'm sure it has, somewhere): with Starliner launching on an Atlas, they are the first crew since Gordon Cooper in 1963 to do so, nearly 61 years to the day later (May 15, 1963 on Mercury-Atlas 9)
SpaceX Final point, and perhaps a little controversial: as I have gotten more experience in space and tech I am utterly unimpressed by economic models (even by famous consulting firms and think-tanks) to have *any* predictive value. The only successful way of predicting the future is to