Why have social democratic parties lost vote shares? Which programs resonate with their electorate?
3 short Policy Briefs with Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, from the project “Transformation of the Left in Knowledge Societies” organized by H. Kitschelt and myself. tinyurl.com/3pk9mtc3 Thread:

On voter transitions: The Myth of Voter Losses to the Radical Right. library.fes.de/pdf-files/id/i…
“Both past and future losses are predominantly to green and left-libertarian parties” jointly with Tarik Abou-Chadi, Macarena Ares, Daniel Bischof 🧐, Thomas Kurer, von Ditmars, Markus Wagner.

This figure in the policy brief on voter transitions – by Tarik Abou-Chadi and Markus Wagner – shows that SD parties have mostly lost to other left-wing and to centrist parties. from library.fes.de/pdf-files/id/i…

This figure in the policy brief on voter transitions – by Daniel Bischof 🧐 and Thomas Kurer – shows that hardly any SD voters have transitioned to RR parties, not even over several elections.
from library.fes.de/pdf-files/id/i…

This table in the policy brief on voter transitions – from my own paper “Social Democracy in competition: voting propensities and electoral trade-offs”, a draft is here siljahaeusermann.org/output-in-prog… – shows that the main potential future losses are also to Green and RL parties.