me when I’m hostile responding to polls from firms I don’t know and trying to maximize the weight my response gets

It's too much mindshare both in terms of Dems worrying about appeasing leftist defectors and also too much mindshare in terms of Dems getting angry about leftist defectors.

The Biden 2020 voters who are defecting self-ID as moderate/conservative!

blueprint2024.com/analysis/haley…

Some personal news. I'm thrilled to join American Economic Liberties Project and get the opportunity to contribute to their very important work. Bonus: I got a mention in POLITICO Playbook for something other than my birthday.

“It quickly became apparent that “data-driven preparedness” was nothing more than empiricist kabuki for donors… with AI, humanitarians now have the power to knit disparate data streams into actionable insights.”

globaldispatches.org/p/six-ways-ai-…

Nominating Randy Maestro as NYC’s lawyer (needs city council approval) = knowingly wasting your time.

In recent months, longtime New Yorker editor David Remnick has increasingly mused to peers about his inevitable departure — and who might take his place, Max Tani reports.
semafor.com/article/04/28/…

“Over a 110-year period, almost without exception, whenever there was a Republican president who was elected, the murder and suicide rates would double, and whenever there was a Democratic president elected, the murder and suicide rates would halve.”

There’s pretty much no point in talking about polls on this site anymore. Everyone has lost the plot.

1) Stop reading deep into small crosstabs.
2) it’s all about how pollsters weight.
3) we won’t ever know what is correct. We’ll know what it is in November.

I think it strengthens the case for Biden to do things that win him the election, like being publicly mad about interest rates which is one of their chief concerns about a second Biden term

Donald Trump thinks telling someone they’re fired is something to laugh about.

I guess that’s how you look at the world from Mar-a-Lago.

🤷‍♂️

That poll that found that Americans simultaneously support raising the corporate tax rate and lowering the corporate tax rate keeps making me laugh. Gotta love the median voter

'Polling on [junk fees], as it did two years ago for Biden’s team, explains why so many lawmakers see the upside in attaching themselves to the war on junk fees. A new survey by Blueprint examined the popularity of 40 issues that could affect the 2024 campaign. Banning businesses…

The most popular ideas on this list are Biden ideas (good news) but note that really nasty Trump ideas like 'end birthright citizenship' and 'deport Gaza protestors' are in fact above water.

Don't assume he won't be able to do it if he wins.

blueprint2024.com/polling/tlp-bi…

Anti-junk fee stuff is wildly popular 👍
CTC doing quite well 😀
Taxing the rich, popular as always 🫡
Tax cuts, also popular 🫤
Reject gaza refugees and deport protestors, +8%, jesus christ man

There was some talk that Elon Musk becoming a conservative culture warrior might polarize the right into supporting electric cars. So far doesn't seem like that's happening (but he has managed to piss off his lib potential customers)

Cheat sheet for the foreign aid deal:

Taiwan aid popular overall, big winner with u30, edu polarized

Israel aid popular with Rs and Is + seniors, splits Ds, limited edu polarization

Ukraine aid v unpopular with Rs, splits Is, but winner with u30 + Black voters, edu polarized

Progressives should talk a lot about their health care ideas and pretend they've never heard of electric cars.

blueprint2024.com/polling/tlp-bi…