Llama day denialism.

Best part of the website, IMHO.

Drawing on behavior change techniques to address cognitive biases in decision-making can be effective in reducing criminal, violent, & antisocial behaviors. Our newest #PolicyInsight reviews the evidence from eight crime & violence prevention programs ⬇️ j-p.al/db9

So excited to announce that @natasharsarin and Danny Yagan and I are launching @the_budget_lab at Yale Law School. Budget scoring is an incredibly important part of the policy process and our hope is to bring a new perspective, with a focus on innovation and transparency. 1/

Feels a bit like the Academy Awards speech but I find all these folks indispensable to my Twitter happiness. #FollowFriday Andrew Donaldson Rabbi-With-No-Knife 🔥🐑🇺🇸🎗🇮🇱 André Béliveau Griffin Fill Philip Hoxie 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇺🇦🇹🇼 Russ Greene Scott Howard DEI Lead at British East India Co. Bojan Tunguz Keith Humphreys Daniel Di Martino 🇺🇸🇻🇪…

A thread on my conversation with Jon Hartley covering my early life as an economist, how I came to be a hyper-globalization skeptic, what today's proponents of industrial policy are getting wrong, and my vision for future policy.

This is the type of thing I was thinking about in the recent 'Brain and Behavioral Sciences' article about 'nudges' and 'S-frames' and 'I-frames'.

A lot of 'nudge' type work really helps in the usability of government services - that sounds like a systematic intervention to me!

Look at how much better the right interface is compared to the left interface (completely not readable by a human).

The cultural accumulation of conceptual tools for understanding the world is pretty overpowered.

The last year has been a lot of cognitive dissonance for me. Inside the AI world, there's non-stop talk about the unprecedented pace of AI improvement. But when I look at the broader economy, I struggle to find examples of transformative change I can write about.

I come across this all the time in retirement debates. Someone makes a claim about this or that and I'm like, 'You know, there's data you can actually check on this.'

Note that 'lower'/'middle'/'upper' class here is defined *in comparison* to median family income.

The graph shows increased income *dispersal* (both lower and upper income households increased their share) not increasing precarity.

pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…

GSA, which runs the govt's single sign-on, Login gov, is piloting face matching tech to ID proof people.

The changes will be felt by many Americans -- over 40 federal/ state agencies use Login as a front door for programs like unemployment insurance

nextgov.com/digital-govern…