Next week's nuclear conference in Isfahan is loudly advertising a visit from IAEA Dir. Grossi, which neither the director nor agency have confirmed.

FWIW there has been considerable debate in #Iran re: nuclear policy since the exchange with Israel. icnst2024.com

Imo, there are two competing interpretations:

1) Israel did not believe the attack was overly escalatory, and miscalculated re: both the impact and the oversight with the US.

2) Israel intended the attack to be escalatory and withheld information from the US deliberately.

Something I haven't seen much on is the absence of Adelson in a Trump 2.0.

He was clearly a huge influence on Trump's policies during his first administration. Given how the situation has changed, will Trump hold to the same positions, with Adelson gone? time.com/6972022/donald…

Trump's whole response to the question on Israel is fascinating, a mix of talking point, personal opinions, and the typical off-the-cuff thinking.

History in the making, folks

EIA has published production data for February, where output recovered to 13.15m bpd after falling to 12.57m bpd in January due to winter weather, though about 100k bpd below the November peak of 13.29m bpd. eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/… #OOTT

Iraq and Kazakhstan will propose plans for additional cuts to meet their commitment to OPEC, after they pumped far above the agreed-upon level in Q1. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Surely this will stop at some point, right? Before our society implodes?

Safavi commenting on Israel's assassination of Zahedi and others in Syria:

'In my opinion, they had infiltrators – at the airport and other places…They are monitoring all phone lines in Syria, and they were aware of his precise location.”

Only missing a flamethrower

Would wait for more sourcing on this before jumping to any conclusions: media is reporting Israel has assassinated an IRGC officer inside #Iran .

Would be very strange for Israel to publicly acknowledge this kind of thing. jpost.com/breaking-news/…

Publicly, there has been sudden and (it would seem) strong momentum toward a ceasefire, including apparent Israeli moderation on key issues.

One wonders what sort of messages are being conveyed in private.