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Bloomberg says that there is a small but rising expectation of an RMB maxi-devaluation: 'Supporters of a sharp currency depreciation say it would allow Beijing boost exports and give the central bank room to cut interest rates.'

bloomberg.com/news/articles/… via Bloomberg Markets

Our essay on 'Authoritarian Institutions' for the 2nd edition of the Handbook of New Institutional Economics, an early version: voices.uchicago.edu/ksonin/files/2….

Attacking the spread of misinformation from the demand side, from @econ_4_everyone, Lina M. Ramírez, Julia Seither, Jaime Unda, and Beatriz Vallejo nber.org/papers/w32367

Hi #EconTwitter ! 📈

Looking for some very cool undergrad #econometrics lecture notes, with an emphasis on iid/micro data and causal inference?

Don’t miss out on these two sets of lecture notes by Peter Hull (@BrownUniversity) and Jonathan Roth (@BrownUniversity)! 📚…

⏰ATTENTION POLCOMM SCHOLARS⌛️
Important deadline coming up next week (April 30):
The 2024 APSA #PolComm Preconference!
Get your abstracts ready & use the linked form to submit!

I’m puzzled by all the fretting about China trade shock 2.0. First, a subsidy war in EVs and batteries is actually a good thing since there is no global carbon tax. Second, we are no longer in hyperglobalization. Importing countries are free to respond. Remember the Japanese…

Forthcoming in EJ: ‘Partisan Effects of Information Campaigns in Competitive Authoritarian Elections: Evidence from Bangladesh’ by Firoz Ahmed, Roland Hodler, Asad Islam doi.org/10.1093/ej/uea… Asad Islam Firoz Ahmed @RolandHodler@RoyalEconSoc Oxford Economics #EconTwitter

🚨Pleased to announce Bob Powell's final paper published at JTP! 🚨

Model of authoritarian power sharing and the problems of weak institutions. I wrote an accompanying comment.

Submitted on behalf of Bob's estate by me, Anne Meng, and Ernesto Dal Bo

journals.sagepub.com/home/jtp

You have likely heard of the “dictator’s dilemma,” in which repression reduces knowledge of discontent and thus loosens an autocrat’s hold on power. But is the dilemma real? And what do dictators do to ease it? We have an answer.

osf.io/preprints/soca…

Call for Abstracts! 2024 APSA Pol Comm Preconference scheduled for Wed Sept 4 at the Annenberg Public Policy Center at UPenn in Philadelphia. APSA APSA & ICA Political Communication Divisions
Deadline for submissions: TUESDAY, APRIL 30, 2024.
SUBMIT HERE: forms.gle/RY7KcL5Ti7JbER…

Interested in measuring Attentiveness in Self-Administered Surveys? Check out our new review piece published today in Public Opinion Quarterly:
doi.org/10.1093/poq/nf…

Writing a null effects paper? Want to bolster your case?

Check out:

▪️Carlisle Rainey: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…

▪️Hartman/Danny Hidalgo: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…

▪️Daniël Lakens: journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…

▪️Justin H Gross, Recovering Statistician: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…

#nulleffectsmatter #teamprecisenulls

really cool!

Hot off the press! 🔥

Hyperpartisan, Alternative, and Conspiracy Media Users: An Anti-Establishment Portrait

In Political Communication 📓, we blend webtracking + survey data to paint a nuanced portrait of those who consume this content

Long(ish) thread👇

🔗tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

Hong Kong issues new security law bill with tougher jail terms bit.ly/4a0YGnU

Does trade promote peace, freedom, and economic opportunity, or does it foster conflict, repression, and inequality? It all depends on whom trade empowers, Dani Rodrik explains. bit.ly/4a19jar

#Xi Jinping has advocated creating a 'strong system of strategic deterrence,' but what does he mean? In a new Brookings Foreign Policy piece, I explore three meanings: a nuclear shield, a coercive sword, and a bureaucratic signal to the PLA Rocket Force. brookings.edu/articles/shiel…

Is this going to make qualitative research more important?

New working paper by Benjamin Manning & Kehang Zhu that & I’m super excited about benjaminmanning.io/files/rs.pdf

youtu.be/wSFzIGvNhE4?si…