Matt Blackwell(@matt_blackwell) 's Twitter Profileg
Matt Blackwell

@matt_blackwell

Associate Professor, @Harvard. Political scientist researching statistical methodology and US politics. he/his also at @[email protected]

ID:18663556

linkhttp://mattblackwell.org calendar_today06-01-2009 05:21:11

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In case it’s helpful to folks, I have a set of lecture notes available for a grad-level causal inference course here: mattblackwell.github.io/gov2003-f21-si… (with great section notes from the great Sooahn Shin)

Feel free to use any of the material in your courses. Happy to share sources!

In case it’s helpful to folks, I have a set of lecture notes available for a grad-level causal inference course here: mattblackwell.github.io/gov2003-f21-si… (with great section notes from the great Sooahn Shin) Feel free to use any of the material in your courses. Happy to share sources!
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Added a limited number of 2016 surveys to these plots, along with the validated vote estimates from Pew for 2016.

Added a limited number of 2016 surveys to these plots, along with the validated vote estimates from Pew for 2016.
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Even if you thought Harvard (or any uni, really) could fulfill its teaching obligations without lecturers (come on), you have to be flat out insane to think a research university could eliminate *postdocs* as a position and retain/attract any faculty in the sciences.

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I like implicit supposition here that a group of academics could agree on both the “importance/triviality” and “good enough/definite” dimensions for any particular piec of research

I like implicit supposition here that a group of academics could agree on both the “importance/triviality” and “good enough/definite” dimensions for any particular piec of research
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Find yourself a partner that loves you as much as university administrators love listening sessions with the community

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Here are the Latino and Black support plots for 2024 vs 2020 in terms of net Biden support and Biden share of the two-party vote.

Both sets of support are down, with Latino averages especially noisy and Black averages maybe trending toward 2020.

Here are the Latino and Black support plots for 2024 vs 2020 in terms of net Biden support and Biden share of the two-party vote. Both sets of support are down, with Latino averages especially noisy and Black averages maybe trending toward 2020.
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I’m sure distracted driving accounts for some of this increase, but I would suspect that the rise of reckless driving by ride shares in cities has also been a factor. At least in Cambridge, they drive very aggressively even on small, ped heavy streets.

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Deleted this tweet because one of the authors clarified that this baseline actual usage. I think “actual” was meant in opposition to “estimated” rather than in opposition to “assigned”. Sorry!

Deleted this tweet because one of the authors clarified that this baseline actual usage. I think “actual” was meant in opposition to “estimated” rather than in opposition to “assigned”. Sorry!
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As usual, 3Blue1Brown does a fantastic job stepping through the basics of (parts of) the GPT algorithm. One of the best introductions to the idea of embeddings that I’ve seen
youtu.be/wjZofJX0v4M?si…

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