'Today’s swing state polls from Emerson College/The Hill found former President Trump leading or statistically tied with President Biden in the seven states that will determine control of the White House,' Kirk A. Bado writes.

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The presidential race runs through Pennsylvania.
President Biden and former President Trump know that the commonwealth, which has more Electoral College votes than any other battleground, is the most important on the map, Zac Weisz reports.
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'Although McCormick’s Q1 fundraising roundup doesn’t easily prove or disprove the carpetbagging allegations, it does speak volumes about his ability to self-fund his campaign,' Hannah Thacker writes.

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'If the Supreme Court doesn’t grant him immunity, then Trump will have to spend much more time in court before November,' Kirk A. Bado writes.

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'Come January, Gov. Jim Justice—and his bulldog, Babydog—are expected to leave the rolling hills of West Virginia for a spot in the United States Senate, leaving the door open to replace him in Charleston,' Mary Frances McGowan reports.
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'Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez set high expectations for Rep. Summer Lee on Sunday,' Kirk A. Bado writes about Lee's triumph in her Democratic primary last night.
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Voters are voting in Pennsylvania tonight!
James Downs breaks down what to watch in the Keystone State primaries.
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'Intense media coverage is one of the few campaign norms we have left during this unusual election season and should be expected—just as journalists should expect complaints about the coverage,' Kirk A. Bado writes.

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Hotline's updated 2024 Senate power rankings are out: Republicans have multiple paths back to power in the Senate, while Democrats’ margin for error continues to shrink.
Kirk A. Bado breaks down the top 10 seats most likely to flip.
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Hotline released its second iteration of seats most likely to flip for the 2024 cycle Power Rankings Cutting Room Floor.
James Downs breaks down the handful of seats that just barely missed the cut but remain highly competitive.
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'House Democrats got off to a good start in the first three months of the election year, as their most vulnerable members outpaced their GOP counterparts in fundraising,' James Downs reports.
Read Hotline's Q1 House fundraising roundup (unlocked):
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'The 30,000 foot takeaway from the presidential and congressional fundraising reports is that Democrats are looking strong—at least when it comes to money,' Kirk A. Bado reports.

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FEC reports show that while the Senate battlefield is not in their favor, Democrats have not seen a drop off in campaign contributions and will put up a fight, Kirk A. Bado reports.

Read Hotline's Q1 Senate fundraising roundup here (unlocked):
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'Former President Trump’s hush-money trial in New York will dominate the news as his campaign is sidelined for the next eight weeks,' Kirk A. Bado writes.

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No state had a thinner margin of victory in the 2020 presidential election than Georgia.
All eyes will be on this margin again, as Biden and Trump battle it out in the crucial battleground in the race for the White House, Zac Weisz reports.
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Though Trump’s team was put off by some of Noem's potential 'baggage,' the biggest concerns about the governor seem to lie much closer to home, Hannah Thacker writes.
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Hotline’s updated 2024 Senate Power Rankings:
Republicans have multiple paths back to power in the Senate, while Democrats’ margin for error continues to shrink, Kirk A. Bado reports.
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Yesterday Hotline published our updated rankings of the 10 Senate races most likely to flip. Democrats’ best chance to gain a seat is in Texas and Maryland was added to the map. This left Florida on the cutting room floor, Kirk A. Bado writes.

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'Arizona has competitive races up and down the ballot. From the presidential contest to congressional and local races, the court’s ruling will immediately put reproductive rights front-and-center,' Kirk A. Bado writes.
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'Former President Trump’s abortion policy announcement left a lot to be desired—for religious conservatives,' Kirk A. Bado writes.

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