The last day for the House to sit and for MPs to be sworn in is in no way a deadline for negotiations. If they're not done, and there's no agreement on a new PM, everyone will just be sworn in and they'll keep talking until next year.

Thinking is difficult! I made a post: open.substack.com/pub/rottenandg…

Richard Prebble has an nzherald article about voter enrolment.
The first problem is that he uses a description of voter enrolment law as he remembers it from the mid-1980s. Except Prebble himself voted to reverse this in 1989.
It's not the only problem.
nzherald.co.nz/business/elect…

So happy about this new Coursera course with Emma Pierson & Kowe Kadoma ! This is a free to audit course in AI Ethics lead by two of the leading thinkers in the area (Emma and Kowe). I loved workin with them and hope it will help people as they think about how to use AI!

1. I love this law

Whole thread is worth your time but this part really jumped out at me

Statistician job with University of Canberra
and Australian Institute of Sport

Statistical Society of Australia Australian Bureau of Statistics would you consider sharing this job with your network?

uctalent.canberra.edu.au/cw/en/job/5002…

In a new working paper gojiberries.io, Lucas Shen, and I argue that commercial polls inflate the partisan gap and that a big chunk of the partisan gap is not founded in differences in beliefs but an artifact of survey design!

2/n

For comparison, an analysis that also accounts for epidemic dynamics (which may bias conversion of prevalence to incidence with simple division-based method) estimated about 1.2 infections per person on average between spring 2022 and spring 2023: epiforecasts.io/inc2prev/report

Filling in a form that won't allow me to put 'Biostatistics' as the discipline for my PhD, but would allow 'Beekeeping' or 'Boilermaking and Welding'

NZ Loyal supporter Ken Duncan has announced that he is preparing an affidavit that will show the party was robbed of votes due to software used by voting machines. He's not deterred by the fact NZ doesn't use voting machines.

A basic guesstimate of how the special votes might play out. National may lose two seats overall. There's a overhang at present, but it could be gone as Te Pāti Māori does really well on special votes.
Also contains analysis of the two close Māori seats.

publicaddress.net/legalbeagle/el…

If you want to ban public polling you are essentially calling for an increase in information asymmetry favouring political parties and their chosen insiders & surrogates

These people already enjoy informational advantages which let them exercise influence. They don't need more

I started my National Park Collection last year but it's finally complete.
Apologies to anyone who has been waiting patiently for the final four designs.
gailmyerscough.co.uk/national-parks…

I wrote a thing explaining:
first, how easy New Zealand makes it to vote, but
second, asking how we might make it slightly easier for people in rural areas.

I have submitted on multiple occasions that the rules around candidates who die after nominations have closed should be changed. It's an FPP hangover that is unnecessary (and distorting) in a proportional MMP system.

Every single voting place that is being used on election day is open from 9am to 7pm. Every single one.
Early voting places have different hours. There are some voting places that are only being used on election day, and some that are only being used as advance voting places.

in which I expand on a twitter thread with John B and Alex Harrowell, on the question of why English speaking countries pay so much over the odds for railways. Dan Davies open.substack.com/pub/backofmind…