Brett Winton(@wintonARK) 's Twitter Profileg
Brett Winton

@wintonARK

Chief Futurist @ARKInvest. Cross-Asset-Class Disruptive Tech: β‚Ώ /πŸ§¬πŸ”¬πŸ§¬βœ‚οΈ/πŸ€–πŸš– πŸ”‹/πŸ§ πŸ’»β˜οΈ/πŸš€πŸ€–πŸ—ΏπŸ–¨οΈ Disclosure: https://t.co/UmaWM7EXKR

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linkhttp://ark-invest.com calendar_today15-08-2012 23:04:16

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a two seat robotaxi can fulfill >90% of demand and is optimum strategy
maximize unit production and data collection at minimal capex
but if analysts doubt the ability to commercialize robotaxi, they will *hate* the form factor and forecast a failure

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A problem with the current media/information scape:
The most extreme (negative-biased) position receives the richest reward.

If it bleeds it leads (as they say), and also gets amplified, resounds, causes political and regulatory response, receives fundraising and gets…

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the true x-risk:
humanity doesn't end in catastrophe
but instead dwindles down,
the urge to procreate filed away
by the whirling burr of
our own marvelous inventions

not with a bang but a whimper

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you really think the end-game is some misaligned malevolent machine intelligence?
much more likely that the dominant systems optimize for human attention
why bother with a real-life wife-and-kid when an ever-solicitous AI paramour (and AI-baby) serves (and coos) at beck and call?

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Very cool work.
Always seemed weird to me that we dump wildly unfiltered data into models in random order

Be using a separate smaller data selection model this team reduces training burden for same performance by 50%

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as more of the future financializes--as prediction markets and NFTs and smart contracting platforms allow anything to become tradeable, arb-able, and monetizable--the utility of a realtime information platform increases.

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Moving faster than I would have expected
Progress on the mechanical/actuator side a clear testament to the virtues of vertical integration
Perhaps not surprising that there are high returns to DIY in a form factor where there is 0 built up supply chain (a stark contrast to auto)

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Netflix currently monetizes at $.15 per user hour (1st half of '23)

No surprise that its content is power law distributed.

Interesting that those top 8 most popular shows break the expected distribution. Perhaps a function of them featuring the top 10 most watched shows on…

Netflix currently monetizes at $.15 per user hour (1st half of '23) No surprise that its content is power law distributed. Interesting that those top 8 most popular shows break the expected distribution. Perhaps a function of them featuring the top 10 most watched shows on…
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