BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profileg
BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG

@Giovann35084111

The Physics of Bitcoin, BTC daily updates: https://t.co/d6i84hQOCC

ID:1234262786017910784

linkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYfLbCZJWqY calendar_today01-03-2020 23:42:45

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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

predictability of Bitcoin.
Most of the peaks happen at Bitcoin time 0, most of the bottoms happen at around time 3 and full bull market doesn't start until 9.

These are the cycles compared.

#Bitcoin predictability of Bitcoin. Most of the peaks happen at Bitcoin time 0, most of the bottoms happen at around time 3 and full bull market doesn't start until 9. These are the cycles compared.
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John(@getwhatugive) 's Twitter Profile Photo

is an enigma. It’s an ambiguous and indifferent technology…it doesn’t care.

Can’t reliably forecast price, when future use case is unknowable.

Will it be widely adopted and utilized as freedom money…or just “used” as an investment to pump fiat income and wealth?

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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

is this guy kidding?
Does the graph below seems 'unprecise'???

Not sure what his position on the Power Law. It doesn't seem a supportive post.
If it is not let him stew in his ignorance.
The Power Law is extremely precise.

That is another fallacy that people that…

#Bitcoin is this guy kidding? Does the graph below seems 'unprecise'??? Not sure what his position on the Power Law. It doesn't seem a supportive post. If it is not let him stew in his ignorance. The Power Law is extremely precise. That is another fallacy that people that…
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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

this is how 'unprecise' the Power Law is.

We know we will spend 45 % of the time 40 % below the trend, 12 % of the time in the range 40 % below up to the trend, 25 above the trend up to 50 % and 20 % of the time above the trend.

Also again these values are not random…

#Bitcoin this is how 'unprecise' the Power Law is. We know we will spend 45 % of the time 40 % below the trend, 12 % of the time in the range 40 % below up to the trend, 25 above the trend up to 50 % and 20 % of the time above the trend. Also again these values are not random…
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moneyordebt ∞/21M(@moneyordebt) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG Very few know how to even model volatility in log space. Can even be done in a model free manner; of course the power law model is strong and consistent with observed vol. So they get shaken out or wrecked.

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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm going to call this fallacy the British HODL ❤️‍🔥🐂❤️‍🔥 fallacy. Joe Carlasare you committed it tonight. Not sure if you were just joking or serious.

The caveman idea that Bitcoin can be anywhere between 1 standard deviation to 2 standard deviations from the Power Law trend…

#Bitcoin I'm going to call this fallacy the @BritishHodl fallacy. @JoeCarlasare you committed it tonight. Not sure if you were just joking or serious. The caveman idea that Bitcoin can be anywhere between 1 standard deviation to 2 standard deviations from the Power Law trend…
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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

People are still thinking like cavemen when thinking about Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is not an asset. When you invest in Bitcoin it is like you are investing in a country with a GDP that grows with a GDP of 2.5 in time (hyper parabolic).

This is the ratio of Price vs users…

#Bitcoin People are still thinking like cavemen when thinking about Bitcoin. Bitcoin is not an asset. When you invest in Bitcoin it is like you are investing in a country with a GDP that grows with a GDP of 2.5 in time (hyper parabolic). This is the ratio of Price vs users…
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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

PygMara Robin Seyr Market needs to be liquid, absolutely. But some people send these extreme messages that are not educational. Maybe good memes but they disinform instead of educating. I need to point out this giving I'm aiming to be a Bitcoiner educator and researcher.

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Michael Flaherty(@Michael82066861) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Must watch if you love Bitcoin and think it will change the world! Okay, maybe not, but you should watch it if you have a vague interest too!

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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Kareem Amer They don't in any significant manner because they need to span many orders of magnitude. When you look at changes that involve many orders of magnitude for SP500 it behaves like an exponential and most of this exponential growth is inflation.

@yottasapien They don't in any significant manner because they need to span many orders of magnitude. When you look at changes that involve many orders of magnitude for SP500 it behaves like an exponential and most of this exponential growth is inflation.
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BTC_POWER_LAW / PlanG(@Giovann35084111) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Read this for an example. Growth of body structures in an organism, like an elephant tusk is a scale invariant phenomenon in time. You can make the power law at 5 years and use it to predict the size of the tooth for the animal at 30 years. Scale invariance is used all…

#Bitcoin Read this for an example. Growth of body structures in an organism, like an elephant tusk is a scale invariant phenomenon in time. You can make the power law at 5 years and use it to predict the size of the tooth for the animal at 30 years. Scale invariance is used all…
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