The war in Ukraine has amplified concerns about nuclear proliferation, but how worried should we be?

In a new IFRI paper, I sort through proliferation risk factors, analyze which are most concerning, and apply these insights to East Asia & the Mideast. ifri.org/sites/default/…

Thrilled to announce my stateside return this summer in a new position as Professor of the Practice CNS Middlebury Institute. Looking forward to bringing my arms control/nonproliferation/disarmament research & working w/brilliant colleagues to counter spread of WMD & train next gen.

A great summary of our recent ISA roundtable by Charli Carpenter: worldpoliticsreview.com/ukraine-war-ru…
Peace Research Center Prague (PRCP) Lauren Sukin Stephen Herzog Rebecca Davis Gibbons Alexander H. Montgomery alexmontgomery.com/bsky

Delighted to see my new International Studies Quarterly article with Lauren Sukin on how respondents in Poland, Romania, and the Baltic countries evaluated U.S. reassurance efforts in March 2022, not long after Russia initiated its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

A brief 🧵.
academic.oup.com/isq/article/68…

My article 'Nuclear archaeology to assess fissile-material inventories for nuclear safety and security, transparency, and disarmament' is finally out in The Nonproliferation Review!

Link to free copy: tandfonline.com/eprint/VAVCHJY…

So: What can a nuclear archaeologist achieve? 1/5

The Swiss Federal Council has decided not to join the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons #TPNW #NuclearBan at this time after a reassessment of its merits. A press release is available at the link, as is a detailed report by the Federal Department of Foreign Affairs.

If you happen to be in Monterey, California, next week, Ondřej Rosendorf and I will be presenting the results of our Stanton Foundation project (w/ @mVranka) investigating public and elite support for nuclear arms control at CNS. Prof. Jeff Knopf will moderate💥

It was great to present my paper with Lauren Sukin and Stephen Herzog at this workshop! Thanks to Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law & Armed Conflict & CISAC for the opportunity to talk about our project mapping and contrasting nuclear morality in the Global North and the Global South.

Wrapping-up 2 days of 'Law & Ethics of Nuclear Deterrence', hosted by Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law & Armed Conflict & CISAC

Particularly proud of colleagues from 4(!) Oxford Depts (@OxfordLawFac, Blavatnik School of Government, Oxford Politics and IR, Faculty of Philosophy) giving stellar comments 4 our authors - papers to come!

In my report for CNA, I look at Russia’s approach to the global nuclear order since the 1990s and what’s change since the war in Ukraine. The report also looks at Russia’s positions on the IAEA/NPT, deployment of NSNW to Belarus, and the CTBT. cna.org/reports/2024/0…

One year and 15k views of my Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists piece later, UA battlefields show the game-changing effect of drones still depends on the game.
Battlespace awareness✔️
Human-guided munition✔️
Strategic war victory✖️

Reminder: you cannot tech-hack the war.

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

After nearly a decade of work on the Russia-Iran relationship, I wrote a book about it.

hurstpublishers.com/book/russia-an…

It was a great honor for us to host Stephen Herzog and his fantastic guest lecture on the impact of the war in Ukraine on the global nuclear order 🌎 w/ Michal Smetana Jan Ludvík @mVranka Ondřej Rosendorf Experimental Lab for Int. Security Studies (ELISS)

Our panel on #nuclear #security with Alexander Sorg Stephen Herzog Steve Fetter Névine Schepers Liviu Horovitz Alex Bollfrass #Russia has already damaged our nuclear security. Will it use nuclear weapon and how the West would respond?

Calling all #PhD students interested or performing #policy -relevant research, our Bridging the Gap New Era applications are now live. Join us Josef Korbel School October 13-15!

Also happy to answer any questions about the program!

bridgingthegapproject.org/new-era-worksh…

3 co-chairs who were very happy with discussions at the second Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group Conference in Mexico City! Watch this space for the group's research. With Rebecca Davis Gibbons & Hassan Elbahtimy. Special thanks to El Colegio de México, MacArthur Foundation, & Managing the Atom for support.

3 co-chairs who were very happy with discussions at the second Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group Conference in Mexico City! Watch this space for the group's research. With Rebecca Davis Gibbons & Hassan Elbahtimy. Special thanks to El Colegio de México, MacArthur Foundation, & Managing the Atom for support.

It was wonderful to have the second meeting of the Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group in a nuclear weapon free zone country. Thanks to El Colegio de México, Managing the Atom, and MacArthur Foundation for making this possible!

A great pleasure to be in Mexico city with an amazing group of scholars thinking creatively about moving beyond nuclear deterrence. Huge thanks to El Colegio de México and Harvard's Managing the Atom & MacArthur Foundation for making this possible & my partners in crime Stephen Herzog & Rebecca Davis Gibbons