I told David Sanger: “We appear to be headed to an eventual Israel- #Iran confrontation. Iran and Israel are now the main protagonists in the Middle East. They view each other as their most serious national security threats. There are no red lines or rules in place to contain their…

an excerpt of interview BBC News (World) re #Iran and #Israel . the shadow war is now out in the open. Stimson Center

Sources in #Iran claim that two ballistic missiles have hit their target. #IsraelIranWar

IRNA, a formal #Iranian agency, has confirmed that Iran has launched a number of ballistic missiles. If this is true, it suggests that Iran is moving beyond the previously anticipated 'casualty-free limited strike,' similar to past attacks on #US bases in Iraq. However, it is…

I told BBC NEWS فارسی that given the speed and altitude of #Iran ’s #drones , as well as the geographical distance from #Israel , the primary objective appears to be to overwhelm the air defenses in #Israel , #Iraq - #Syria ( #US ), and #Cyprus ( #UK ). The secondary aim is to exhaust the…

The objectives of #Hezbollah 's recent barrage of rocket attacks on #Israel are: 1. To overwhelm and test Israel's air defenses. 2. To desensitize and exhaust #IDF personnel. 3. To employ psychological warfare against Israelis, esp. those in northern settlements. #Iran #IronDome

Had the great pleasure of moderating a panel on Iran’s nuclear program at Global and National Security Institute (GNSI) ‘s conference with Kelsey Davenport and Barbara Slavin

Just over a week away from The Iran Enigma: Navigating Strategy and Security. The latest GNSI Policy Dialogues conference at University of South Florida. Attendance is free and space is limited but the knowledge and learning are 🔥💯🤯 Register here:
eventbrite.com/e/gnsi-policy-…
#Iran #MiddleEast …

Many thanks to Arab Digest for publishing my latest piece, which is about Ismail Haniyeh’s latest visit to #Iran . This article quotes Marina Calculli, Sanam Vakil صنم وكىل, Mehran Kamrava, Hamidreza Azizi, and Dr Andreas Krieg. arabdigest.org/sample-newslet… Bill Law بيل لو #Tehran #Gaza #Hamas #Israel

The Iran-Israel Quasi-War in Syria nationalinterest.org/feature/iran-i… suggests that #Israel is very worried about the arms buildup in #Syria . good read Arman Mahmoudian

The Iran-Israel Quasi-War in Syria nationalinterest.org/feature/iran-i…

I told BBC NEWS فارسی that declining support for #Israel 's military operation among #Americans , as indicated by polls, and the concerns regarding the views of Gen Z and first-time voters in the #US on the war in #Gaza , are the key reasons behind #Biden 's decision to press Israel

Read my latest National Interest on #Iran - #Israel Quasi War in #Syria

In my analysis for National Interest , I argued #Israel targeted #Iran 's embassy in #Syria to curb the Axis of Resistance's buildup, counting on Iran's cautious retaliation. Iran avoids escalating to prevent wider conflict, with potential countermeasures including limited strikes…

I told BBC NEWS فارسی that #Iran is unlikely to confront #Israel directly over #Damascus embassy attacks. The cost is too high, contradicting Iran's survival strategy. This could threaten the #Assad regime, supported by Iran with $20-30 billion & 2000+ soldiers. Conflict would also…

Mark your calendar for April 10! Join Global and National Security Institute (GNSI) Policy Dialogues: The #Iran Enigma at USF's Patel Center. Dive into Iran's strategy, security, and social movements with experts like Vali Nasr , Mohsen Milani , and General (Ret) Frank McKenzie.
usf.edu/gnsi/events/po…

Ever been to The International Spy Museum? Interested in intelligence history? Society for Intelligence History is pleased to announce the call for papers for its annual conference to be held at the International Spy Museum from 6-8 Feb 2025! See the website for submission instructions: intelligencehistory.org/conferencecfp

Excellent analysis on #Iran - #Turkmenistan relations by Giorgio Cafiero

Unravel the Iran Enigma, as we Navigate Strategy and Security in our upcoming Policy Dialogues conference. Learn more or register here:
ow.ly/vrNi50QZZj0

Latest analysis by Dr. Mahmoudian ⬇️