In It's Debatable, I argue with Matthew Kroenig over whether war with Iran might be worse than nuclear proliferation.

We had to rewrite it a few times, so... read it before some new escalation changes things again!

foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/19/isr…

What would a second Trump term mean for U.S. foreign policy? Columnist Matthew Kroenig will join FP Live on April 22 at 12:00pm ET to discuss this question and more. Register here for this free event: foreignpolicy.com/live/trump-for…

Reminder: Isfahan is home to Iranian nuke weapons program facility (uranium conversion). But it's also home to a dual civ (int'l)/mil airport. Future escalation depends on target and it's too early to know that. Either way, message from Israel: we can hit the nuke facility.

Tune in. Recommended.

Join us for the next FP Live interview on April 22 with columnist Matthew Kroenig for a look inside the Republican Party's foreign policy. Register here: foreignpolicy.com/live/trump-for…

The House package introduced tonight would push the United States to have a clearer and tougher Russia/Ukraine strategy, including:
*Requires the administration to submit to Congress a clear strategy with specific goals and metrics.
· Requires the transfer of long-range ATACMS.…

The House package introduced tonight would push the United States to have a clearer and tougher Russia/Ukraine strategy, including:
*Requires the administration to submit to Congress a clear strategy with specific goals and metrics.
· Requires the transfer of long-range ATACMS.…

Of note: the new House Ukraine aid bill requires Biden to send Ukraine long-range ATACMS “as soon as practicable” after the bill becomes law.

This rings true

I was delighted to join ⁦BILL HEMMER⁩ and ⁦Fox Nation⁩ to discuss “the new axis of evil.” nation.foxnews.com/the-new-axis-o…

🇺🇸 🇯🇵 🇵🇭 Yesterday, President Biden hosted 岸田文雄 and Bongbong Marcos for the first-ever trilateral summit of the US, Japan, and the Philippines.

Watch Scowcroft Center’s Kyoko Imai share insights on key takeaways from the summit:

The US position at the moment seems to be that the Iranian attack was intended to cause widespread death and destruction, but that Israel should refrain from responding due to the attack’s failure. In my view this is a mistake. 1/

Deterrence is, in essence, the credible threat of escalation held in reserve. If the United States is always unwilling to escalate and prohibits its allies from doing so, then deterrence will continue to erode.

A new review of “We Win, They Lose” in the WashingtonFreeBacon
freebeacon.com/culture/the-re…

The message coming out of this weekend cannot be that it is OK for rogue regimes to attack US allies and partners with hundreds of missiles and drones because we can shoot them down. They also need to know they will incur unacceptable costs. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/…

I totally agree with this, but I will be surprised if the Biden administration does.

Iran just conducted a strategic attack against a nuclear-armed power. All options should be on the table for an Israeli response. Iran’s nuclear facilities should be on the target list.

🧵As I watch the Iranian attack on Israel, it is becoming clear that we are less and less able to deter our adversaries. Russia, Hamas, Houthis and now Iran. It’s time to ask ourselves why revisionist state and non-state actors believe they can attack and get away with it. 1/6

An excerpt from my new book in ⁦Foreign Policy⁩ foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/13/rep…

Required reading for anyone who still doubts that we are confronted with the Russia-China alliance aimed at reordering the international system. Let’s stop talking nonsense about “de-risking” our trade with #China . We need to decouple from China. Period. apnews.com/article/united…