Iran’s attack last weekend aimed not to provoke an all-out war, but to establish strategic deterrence, Sina Toossi writes. foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/18/ira…

I am both Italian and Iranian. Use your own country for your paranoid propaganda. No one believes this nonsense anymore.

It’s tragic how much self-destructive poison has been pumped into Iranian opposition politics by outside actors just so that someone like Emily Schrader can say “my Iranian friends *want* to be bombed!”

The girl behind the photo. A reminder that Palestinians killed by Israel are not just numbers or white shrouds. They were once smiling 5 year olds who once hoped for peace. ✌🏽 💔😞

Ultimately, the Iranian assault on Israeli soil marked a pivotal juncture in the Middle East’s geopolitical landscape, Sina Toossi writes. foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/18/ira…

🛑✍️نظرات اولیه در مورد حمله گزارش شده اسرائیل در ایران

این تحلیل را با این درک که دامنه کامل رویداد هنوز مشخص نشده، آغاز می‌کنم.

گزارش‌های اولیه از منابع ایرانی نشان می‌دهند که حمله پیش‌بینی شده بود، در پی حملات قبلی به تأسیسات راداری در سوریه، که ایران را در آماده‌باش بالا

'Foreign Secretary Cameron has told Benjamin Netanyahu that the UK will not be proscribing Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terror group, The Telegraph understands.'

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/…

'There does not appear to be any extensive damage at an air base purportedly targeted by an Israeli military strike, according to exclusive satellite images obtained by CNN from Umbra Space.

There does not appear to be any large craters in the ground and there are no apparent

Israel’s limited attack on Iran, along with Iran’s muted response & Israel’s refusal to claim responsibility, suggests successful de-escalation.

The stabilizing of this situation could be attributed to Iran’s new deterrence strategy.

I elaborated on it in my piece yesterday👇

SCOOP: #Iran 's military 'remains on high alert for [further] attacks tonight,' Amwaj.media has learned—even as informed sources indicate halt to direct confrontation with #Israel .

Iranians warned of Israeli activity via two channels. With Ali Hashem علي هاشم
amwaj.media/article/israel…

🛑✍️Initial thoughts on the reported Israeli strike within Iran

I will caveat this analysis by with the understanding that the full scope of the event is yet to be ascertained.

Preliminary reports from Iranian sources indicate that the strike was anticipated, following

🛑✍️نظرات اولیه در مورد حمله گزارش شده اسرائیل در ایران

این تحلیل را با این درک که دامنه کامل رویداد هنوز مشخص نشده، آغاز می‌کنم.

گزارش‌های اولیه از منابع ایرانی نشان می‌دهند که حمله پیش‌بینی شده بود، در پی حملات قبلی به تأسیسات راداری در سوریه، که ایران را در آماده‌باش بالا

🛑✍️Initial thoughts on the reported Israeli strike within Iran

I will caveat this analysis by with the understanding that the full scope of the event is yet to be ascertained.

Preliminary reports from Iranian sources indicate that the strike was anticipated, following

Israel’s limited attack on Iran, along with Iran’s muted response & Israel’s refusal to claim responsibility, suggests successful de-escalation.

The stabilizing of this situation could be attributed to Iran’s new deterrence strategy.

I elaborated on it in my piece yesterday👇

Iranians are responding to the reported Israeli drone incursion with more humor. This video compares the anti-aircraft fire targeting the drones and the fireworks/explosions of last month’s Chaharshanbe Suri festival.

همین حرفا رو راجع به «حماس» و «مردم فلسطین» هم میزنند! بعد به بهانه مبارزه با حماس ۲ میلیون از همون مردمی که متحدشون هستند رو آواره کردند، ۴۰ هزار نفرشون رو کشتند و حالا هم میخوان زمین‌های جدیدی رو غضب کنند.

#پتیاره‌ها

Israel's far-right national security minister, part of regular security cabinet, slams his own govt's strike on Iran, calling it feeble, using the word for a weak kick in football that doesn't reach goal. (The 3 certified to make tactical decisions now are Bibi Gallant and Gantz)

THREAD: Whether Israel's micro-drone strike against Iran was launched from inside Iran or from neighbouring countries, this very underwhelming response (which was essentially a repeat of similar strikes Israel has conducted over the past few years) demonstrates the following:

Both points in the title of this article suggest that 1) intense diplomatic pressure on Israel worked, and 2) Iran's attack although it did not do any damage established risk of serious escalation and has changed Israel calculus. The question a new mutual deterrence emerge from

All the Iranian airports that had suspended flights briefly have now returned to normal operations.