🚨 New: Nimbyest vs Yimbyest Local Councils via The Times and The Sunday Times

Gall Sigler and I are excited to update our working paper 'Not of Primary Concern: Stability, Ideology, and Vote Choice in U.S. Primaries, 2008-2024' with precinct-level data from Ohio's 2024 Senate and presidential primaries.

Paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

A new ‘game changer’ vaccine trial is underway, designed to help the immune system recognise and destroy cancerous cells. mRNA-4157 (V940), uses the same technology as current Covid vaccines & is being tested in final-stage Phase III trials.

bbc.co.uk/news/health-68…

Incredible graph showing that change in cancer survival rates, (via Scott Alexander, by @ourworldindata). The 'War on Cancer' hasn't been won, but humanity is (too) slowly winning

A new blog post by me for UK in a Changing Europe looking at how non-homeowners' future ownership prospects affect their vote choice

🚨 'This gives strong support to the idea that there is a link between frustrated homeownership ambitions and Labour support.'

🏠 How does the prospect of future homeownership affect vote choice?

📊 James Breckwoldt summarises his NEW research 👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/how-the-prospe…

🚨🚨NEW🚨🚨

In recent years, British politics has been unusually unstable.

One factor best explains this…

thepathnottaken.net/p/britains-ins…

I mean, we've got a bit more going on than whatever this is...

(Unless this is a ploy to post deliberately crap adverts on the Underground to make sure no one from London ever visits, in which I case I am strongly in favour)

It’s probably the case that this is mostly true of humanities majors rather than, say, engineering.

But there’s nothing *inherently* easy about the humanities, there’s been a choice to make the courses easy to please students. You could make hard classes if you wanted to.

🚨 'This gives strong support to the idea that there is a link between frustrated homeownership ambitions and Labour support.'

🏠 How does the prospect of future homeownership affect vote choice?

📊 James Breckwoldt summarises his NEW research 👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/how-the-prospe…

We are delighted to announce that the call for papers for #EPOP2024 is now open! This will take place at the University of Manchester from 11-13 September.

Deadline for applications is 21st May. To submit, please follow this link: shorturl.at/abkCT

NEW: my column this week is about the coming vibe shift, from Boomers vs Millennials to huge wealth inequality *between* Millennials.

Current discourse centres on how the average Millennial is worse-off than the average Boomer was, but the richest millennials are loaded 💸🚀

This is a really funny 'takedown' of R in that it starts by admitting that if all you want to do is read in a csv, do some summarisation, create a model, make a nice graph then R is good. But that is... A lot of social science!

Would be centre right voters of working age with a mortgage have basically seen their outgoings double in 4 years.