Is Biden locked in essentially a 50-50 race with Trump?

Or is he trailing by more than the national polls suggest?

The answer depends largely on whether Trump/GOP have maintained their advantage in the Electoral College they held in the last 2 cycles nbcnews.com/politics/2024-…

BREAKING: Democrat Elissa Slotkin wins reelection to U.S. House in Michigan's 7th Congressional District. #APracecall at 3:08 a.m. EST. apnews.com/hub/2022-midte…

FIRST READ: Brace yourselves for an Election Week, not Election Day. nbcnews.com/meet-the-press…

Final pre-election MULawPoll will be released Wed. Nov 2, 12:15pm Central. Results posted to web at 1:15.

Details here:

marquette.edu/news-center/20…

Brace yourselves for another Election Week -- not just Election Day nbcnews.com/meet-the-press…

🚨Cook Political Report RATINGS CHANGE🚨

#AZSen moves back to Toss Up from Lean D after a spate of tightening private polling has alarmed Dems.

The overall environment in AZ boosting GOPers, even weaker candidates like Masters

cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…

Fetterman on stage in Pittsburgh: “To be honest, doing that debate wasn't exactly easy, you know.”

“We still love you!” someone in the crowd yells.

'This race was trending toward victory. Now, it’s anyone’s guess what happens,' Dem strategist Chris Kofinis says. nbcnews.com/politics/2022-…

Fascinatingly, all six of the races that have moved in Republicans' direction this week are in states Biden carried in 2020, whereas all four races moving towards Democrats are located in states Donald Trump carried in both 2016 and 2020.

NEW Cook Political Report: 10 House rating changes this week, including four Dem incumbents from Lean D to Toss Up and two - #AKAL Mary Peltola (D) and #KS03 Sharice Davids (D) - from Toss Up to Lean D. Full analysis: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

FIRST READ: Just a third of voters say they trust their president and member of Congress, according to the latest NBC News poll. nbcnews.com/meet-the-press…

The NBC News poll tested 8 different candidate issue positions.

The least popular? Believing Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election nbcnews.com/meet-the-press…

Two new Senate polls out from CNN.
Show close races in both PA and WI.
#PASen Fetterman (D) 51% ... Oz (R) 45%
#WISen Johnson (R) 50% ... Barnes (D) 49%
(Both polls LVs; MOE about 4.5%)

Really feels like things are swinging back to GOP.

Another datapoint: The DCCC chair is in danger, with his race now a tossup, per Dave Wasserman. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Our latest NBC News poll finds that Democrats *are* fired up.

It’s just that Republicans are fired up *a lot* more -- reminding us of what played out in Virginia a year ago nbcnews.com/meet-the-press…

House rating change: Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D) moves from Lean D to Toss Up at Cook Political Report as Dems admit the DCCC chair is now in serious danger in #NY17 . Full analysis: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

'Anger on their minds': NBC News poll finds sky-high interest and polarization ahead of midterms

Mark Murray:
nbcnews.com/meet-the-press… via @nbcnews