Tees Valley mayoral election

Ben Houchen (Con): YouGov 51% / Result 53.6%
Chris McEwan (Lab): YouGov 44% / Result 41.3%
Simon Thorley (LD): YouGov 5% / Result 5.0%

🚨 BREAKING: Ben Houchen has been re-elected as the Tees Valley mayor

🔵 CON: 81,930 (53.6%)
🔴 LAB: 63,141 (41.3%)
🟠 LDEM: 7,679 (5%)

Sir John Curtis says that the results in the local elections so far are ‘not far short’ of catastrophic for the Tories
 
They are ‘one of the worst if not the worst’ Conservative performances in local elections for 40 years
 
He says that Tories are losing half the seats they are…

2-0 down and we bring in bryan gil 😭

I turned up with my LGBT pronouns card and was allowed to vote ten times all for Sadiq Khan!

the gp receptionist when i ask for a repeat on the prescription i’ve been getting for 6 years

The Conservatives are now behind Labour among 2016 Leave voters

Leave voter voting intention
Reform UK: 32%
Labour: 28%
Conservative: 27%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

Conservative voting intention is now at its lowest level among...

2019 Con voters: 43%
65+ year olds: 31%
Leave voters: 27%
C2DE households: 19%
50-64 year olds: 18%
England: 18%
Men: 16%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

Tory vote share now lower than under Liz Truss in our latest VI (30 Apr - 1 May)

Con: 18% (-2 from 23-24 Apr)
Lab: 44% (-1)
Reform UK: 15% (+2)
Lib Dem: 10% (+1)
Green: 8% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

today was the wrong day to dress in majority yellow, people probably think i’m a crazy lib dem

NextDoor in Kensington is something else 😭

A little thread on this, from me.

After a pretty successful first outing last year, we’ve decided to wind up the MRP machine for another crack at projecting local authority results using YouGov’s incredible panel of British voters.

Can't believe he's going to build HS2

We've used MRP to call 16 key local authority battlegrounds at the coming local elections - we predict significant Tory losses to Labour

You can see our calls in the chart below, and read more detailed analysis from Patrick English here:

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

Latest London mayoral voting intention (24-30 Apr)

Sadiq Khan (Lab): 47% (+1 from 9-17 Apr)
Susan Hall (Con): 25% (-2)
Zoë Garbett (Green): 7% (-2)
Rob Blackie (Lib Dem): 6% (-2)
Howard Cox (Reform UK): 6% (=)
Others: 8% (+4)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

started watching renegade nell and i’m offended she doesn’t like being called nelly

Tees Valley mayoral voting intention (12-29 Apr) - Ben Houchen has 7pt lead

Ben Houchen (Con): 51%
Chris McEwan (Lab): 44%
Simon Thorley (LD): 5%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

Blimey - New YouGov polling suggests mayoralty races in West Mids and Tees Valley on a knife edge...

West Midlands
Andy Street, Conservative 41%
Richard Parker, Labour, 39%

Tees Valley
Ben Houchen, Conservative 51%
Chris McEwan, Labour 44%

Latest YouGov Scottish independence tracker (26-29 Apr*)

Yes: 46% (-1 from 2 Apr)
No: 54% (+1)

*fieldwork conducted prior to Yousaf's resignation

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…

Latest Westminster voting intention (Scotland)

Lab: 34% (+1 from 2 Apr)
SNP: 33% (+2)
Con: 14% (=)
Lib Dem: 8% (+1)
Reform UK: 5% (-2)
Green: 4% (-1)
Other: 2% (-1)

Fieldwork conducted 26-29 Apr, all prior to Yousaf's resignation

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…