Very glad to see this out! In the paper, we provide evidence that people are more likely to support Putin when they believe he is popular.

We are very pleased to announce the winners of the 2022 Frank Cass Prize! Ora John Reuter for best article, and Jérémie Langlois for best article by an early career scholar. The pieces were selected among strong contenders for most enhancing our understanding of #democratization .

As to Putin, and whether he really is as popular as opinion polls suggest...Well, read this.

Is Putin's popularity (still) real?

Last year I tweeted about my work with Tim Frye, Kyle Marquardt, and Ora John Reuter that attempted, again, to answer that question with list experiments.

It's a cautionary tale—one now in print. scottgehlbach.net/wp-content/upl…

My new piece (with Rostislav Turosvky) extends previous analyses (with Graeme Robertson) of governor appointments in Russia. We find that high regime vote share and turnout are consistent predictors of reappointment; good economic performance less so. brill.com/view/journals/…

New article of mine (with coauthors Dr. Abigail L. Heller and Jen Gandhi) looks at why autocrats adopt PR. Answer: it's about ensuring discipline among legislative allies.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

An accessible summary of our recent list experiment work in Russia

How popular is Putin?
Noah Buckley, Kyle Marquardt, Ora John Reuter, and Katerina Tertytchnaya share their research.
washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…

A new paper by me looks at why party-based autocracy is more durable. Highlights under-appreciated role of mass organization.

Today is the publication day for Weak Strongman: The Limits of Power in Putin’s Russia. See here hubs.ly/H0KlnRF0 @propernamekate Thanks to Michael McFaul Jill Dougherty Joshua Yaffa Daniel Treisman, and Celeste Wallander for the blurbs. The book departs from much writing on Russia.

Yesterday evening I received my Covid-19 vaccine. Then I went to a frozen lake to dance Bhangra on it for joy, hope and positivity, which I'm forwarding across Canada and beyond for everyone's health and wellbeing.

This is the COOLEST. A Google Earth-type representation of the planet. Every green dot is a radio station. Click any dot to listen in. It’s like cultural teleportation. You could spend hours with this thing… radio.garden

If you predict regime stability in Russia, you’ll only be wrong once. If you predict imminent demise, you’ll only be right once.

Hard to imagine that ICSID @ HSE that I co-direct at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow with Andrei Yakovlev is ten years old this month. Here is a short interview on the topic iims.hse.ru/en/csid/news/4…

Wish Mancur Olson were alive to write a 3,000 word essay on GameStop.

We've just joined Twitter! Come here for all the latest news and research from the scholars working at HSE's International Center for the Study of Institutions and Development: iims.hse.ru/en/csid/

My model correctly predicted Putin's victory!

great work here on anticorruption campaigns in Russia from David Szakonyi jordanrussiacenter.org/event-recaps/a…

For comparison, the GDP/capita of Massachusetts (the wealthiest state) is twice that of Mississippi (the poorest). 2/2