Latest #SubPollSeries rolling analysis using WeThink data.
Average of last 11 weeks to April 12 shows a narrowing between Labour and the SNP but now has the SNP on 13 seats!
Yes that’s 13 seats!!!
Latest update from the Meta #SubPollSeries incorporating 4 separate pollsters on a 4 week average.
Labour up to 33 seats whilst the SNP are projected to take just 13.
This would be the end for Stephen Flynn surely?
That's a stunning set of results which ▪︎checks notes▪︎ the #SubPollSeries has been showing for over a week week.
Latest #SubPollSeries from R&W shows Labour extending their lead over the SNP. but a big jump in Reform UK which looks like it's sustaining itself.
#SubPollSeries for DeltaPoll shows a sharp rise for Labour and collapse in SNP vote.
Whilst just one subsample, this is now three sub-samples since the collapse of the BHA which show the SNP on the slide.
🚨
#SubPollSeries
YouGov only polls now charted on a weekly basis with the 6 week average.
This latest polling took place during the collapse of the Bute House Agreement.
The 6 week trend is flat, BUT the latest sub sample shows a sudden dip in the SNP and rise of Greens.
New!!
YouGov #SubPollSeries update.
SNP and Labour continue to be close but it looks like Labour are opening up a lead on the SNP and we can see in the next couple of weeks if this is sustained.
BUT early indications look like the Humza mess has been good for Labour.
The ‼️🆕🆕‼️Meta SubSample in the #SubPollSeries , showing the 6 week sub-poll average for Scotland from WeThink, R&W, YouGov and Deltapoll.
Con 16%
Lab 36%
Lib Dem 6%
SNP 30%
Reform 6%
Green 4%
Other 2%
Latest #SubPollSeries from WeThink and the updated #MetaSubPoll all showing the continued advantage that Labour has over the SNP.
It's quite clear the last week has damaged the SNP in the polls.
DeltaPoll #SubPollSeries trend chart.
That completes the series of weekly pollsters and provides a weekly insight into Scottish polling.
The YouGov #SubPollSeries is remarkably in line with this full Scottish poll.
Averaging the weekly subpolls is giving us a good insight into Scottish polling long before the few Scottish only polls turn up.
Gordon Macdonald MSP The Survation poll applies a UK wide poll to Scotland, meaning the small number for the SNP circa 3% ends up being massively geared in an MRP.
#SubPollSeries and modelling on a Scotland only basis tells a very different story.
electoralcalculus.co.uk/scotland.html
Keith Gordon Andrew Neil So we’ve the #subpollseries showing Labour ahead of the SNP.
Now YouGov and Survation mega polls both showing the same.
The tide has turned. It’s over Keith