OK, here's one fairly explicit comparison to the polling world. It's usually going to be better to do a meta-analysis of all studies, including thinking about biases that could systematically affect all of them, than to spend a huge amount of energy picking apart any one study.

I don’t know if this is a controversial take, an obvious take or both. But I have a position on econometrics curriculum I’d like to verbalize. I believe causal inference should be taught before econometrics, not after, and here’s why. 1/n

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo used a speech this week on Iran to unveil what he calls “real deterrence.” What does that mean? Here are three possible answers.

THREAD

state.gov/the-restoratio…

Congrats @cd_lucas and Dean Knox, representing poli sci on the international research team behind this incredible article in @sciencemagazine. Poli sci methods are simply top shelf, and the broader scientific community is taking note.

science.sciencemag.org/content/366/64…

Charlie Morton's fastball and curveball. Absolute sorcery 🤭

(via Rob Friedman)

Is there a way to adapt best practices from science and engineering to the important questions of war and peace? tnsr.org/2019/08/patter…

-counseling with a LTC. Asked what he was reading. His answer. 'Nothing.' Asked him how many books he read last year. '3'. Asked how he uses social media for self study. (Quizzical expression). The worst insult that can be hurled at you is that you are 'incurious.' Be curious.

Finally, Fusion Power Is About to Become a Reality by Brian Bergstein link.medium.com/lfsUOJC8dT

Ok. So. I've been thinking about how there seems to be problems within the general officer/admiral ranks when it comes to ethics - as in, the violations of ethics, specifically.

And for a long time I've wondered how that happens. Then I took command. Let's talk for a sec.

The fall issue of International Security is now online: mitpressjournals.org/toc/isec/43/2. Read articles by Michael Beckley; Asfandyar Mir (Asfandyar Mir); Oriana Skylar Mastro; (@osmastro); Matthew Adam Kocher, Adria K. Lawrence (@ALintheMagreb), and Nuno P. Monteiro; and Reid B.C. Pauly.

Astonishing fact: In 2002, 33 IR scholars paid for an ad in NYTimes against Iraq invasion. sadat.umd.edu/sites/sadat.um…. None has since been asked to serve in government or advise a presidential campaign. None has spoken at annual meetings of the Council on Foreign Relations. From Stephen Walt new book.

#StrongEurope : The 2d Cavalry Regiment #AlwaysReady (Department of Defense 🇺🇸, U.S. European Command, U.S. Army, 7th Army Training Command, 2d Cavalry Regiment)

These next 10 months in school may be the very last time you will be able to think and reflect, to learn and grow, before you have to fight in the next major war ow.ly/oBg830lYsr9

Outstanding work by one of the most capable political scientists I know...worth the read if only for the pinpoint identification of common logical fallacies in Iraqi popular opinion that are common everywhere.

Over the past couple weeks, our Troops have been rotating through a trench training exercise. Today, Bull Troop tested their mettle in the scorching heat as they cleared the trench!

#AlwaysReady #AlwaysFirst ... facebook.com/WarEagles/post…

Today, 19 Battle Group members - among them four War Eagles (SGT Davis, SPC Cannidy, SGT Salazar and SPC Smith) - graduated the British run Potential Non-Commissioned Officer (PNCO) Candidate's Course. Over the past... facebook.com/WarEagles/post…

At doctoral hooding ceremony, a call to make the world “more just, more fair” MIT School of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences Tim Wright News: bit.ly/2JthIY8

The American public is increasingly isolated from the military, and increasingly skeptical of other institutions ow.ly/klx430jdv0T